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Showing posts with label Investment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Investment. Show all posts

Saturday, September 14, 2024

STRONG PUSH FACTOR FOR PROPERTY MARKET

 

Country’s higher economic growth a feel-good element that is spilling over to the sector

“Inflation levels are benign at about 2% and with the ringgit appreciating against currencies such as the Singapore and Australian dollar, it indicates increased confidence.” Datuk Ho Hon Sang


KUALA LUMPUR: The property market appears to have several strong push factors going for it in the bigger picture, although developers are by and large still cautious despite any broader positivity.

The Real Estate and Housing Developers’ Association of Malaysia’s (Rehda) Property Industry Survey reveals the market is stabilising, amid continued concerns on rising costs on key core cost components such as building materials.

Survey respondents said there was more than a 10% annual increase in the average price for sand, which is used mainly in infrastructure projects, glass and concrete; while costs for steel appear to have declined or tapered off as at June 30.

Unsold units are featured as among the key highlights in the results of this survey whereby half of its respondents reported having unsold completed residential units.

A third of these unsold completed residential units were more than three years old, while about half of them were less than a year old.

A majority or 46% of the survey’s respondents reported that their unsold completed units were priced at RM500,000 and below.

According to survey respondents, the main reasons for this situation were end-financing loan rejection, low demand or interest and bumiputra lots.

The survey, which was done for the first half of 2024 also includes forecasts based on the survey on the market outlook for the second half of this year and the first half of 2025.

It collated responses from 162 out of over 1,500 Rehda members.

According to Rehda president Datuk Ho Hon Sang, the survey only includes a small number of respondents among its larger count of members and does not reflect all launched projects or sales made within the period under review although it can indicate the sentiment on the ground.

“The higher than estimate economic growth thus far gives the country a feel-good factor which spills over to the property market as well.

“Inflation levels are benign at about 2% and with the ringgit appreciating against currencies such as the Singapore and Australian dollar, it indicates increased confidence.

“There are also huge infrastructure projects that are being announced such as the West Coast Expressway which will open up more economic areas,” Ho said at a media briefing yesterday.

“An example is data centres. From 2021 to 2023, there were more than RM76bil of investments into this area, which attracts the established multinational companies.

“This has a very feel-good factor for the property market – as data centres are not just a one-time capital expenditure but provides opportunities during the operations and maintenance period.

“For example, Microsoft has committed to training up to 200,000 talents to maintain DCs,” he added.

Apart from that, there is the stable government and the coming Urban Redevelopment Act that will be focused on the Kuala Lumpur area which will further spur economic activities.

“All these have a part to play in transforming and influencing the sentiment of the people,” said Ho.

Increased demand may also come from increased foreign participation in the property market, although Ho indicated the price threshold is different in the various states and may be too high in some to spur any meaningful foreign buying.

Commenting on the unsold residential units, Ho noted a third of unsold completed bumiputra lots have aged more than three years, which is an issue that the industry needs to address eventually.

“Developers are still treading carefully when it comes to their business operations, despite the improving industry conditions in terms of launches and sales,” he said.

Ho added that this is expected, given the increase in prices for some building materials, which have hit smaller developers harder than larger property development companies.

Rehda also notes that more environmental, social and governance-friendly construction practices such as pre-cast and industrial building systems will increase costs for smaller developers, although it would help to reduce costs for bigger developments.

“For pre-cast panels, the production is centralised and for developments such as high-rises which feature a standard design, it can help to reduce costs on higher volumes with a standard mould.

“For terrace houses with standardised designs, it would be okay but for customised designs it would be difficult for the pre-cast suppliers to do.

“So most developers would still prefer the conventional building style (traditional construction methods) for landed properties.

“But the bigger developers are proceeding with using pre-cast panels even for their landed developments,” Rehda’s deputy-president Datuk Zaini Yusoff told StarBiz.

Zaini said bigger developers usually have their own in house pre-cast manufacturing capabilities.

Commenting on this new construction technology, Ho said it can increase costs for some developers by up to 10% to 15% based on feedback from Rehda’s members.

“This includes transportation costs from the pre-cast plant to the construction site as these costs (diesel) have gone up now and the deployment of skilled labour, since one cannot use normal manual labour to put these together.

“These causes the cost increase,” Ho said.

The survey also indicated that for the next 12 months, respondents look forward to higher optimism for the first half of 2025 compared with the second half of this year.

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Property market and affordability



Growth momentum set to continue



Friday, September 6, 2024

Uptrend emerges for property sector

 
Investments in Malaysia fuel long-term growth


UOBKH Research maintains an “Overweight” call on the property industry,.

Property transactions are reaching all-time highs, oversupply is dropping, and investment in the real estate sector is on the rise.”-UOB Kay Hian Research


PETALING JAYA: UOB Kay Hian Research (UOBKH Research) is keeping its optimism on the property sector, despite acknowledging that second quarter (2Q24) earnings results for the companies under its coverage were a mixed bag.

The research house said among the eight firms it reports on, four had results that were in line with its expectations, three fell short, while one exceeded projections.

The research house said: “S P Setia Bhd’s results shortfall was due to a significant impairment on its Battersea projects in Britain, while UEM Sunrise Bhd’s (UEMS) weak results were due to lower-than-expected progressive billings, caused by delays in construction and deliveries of raw materials.”

At the same time, it said IOI Properties Group Bhd (IOIPROP) also reported weaker-than-expected earnings on lower-than-anticipated contributions from China, although Sunway Bhd exceeded expectations, driven by higher progressive billings from both the group’s property and construction segments.

Despite the performances of several companies coming in below forecasts, UOBKH Research said that industry players under its coverage recorded 2Q24 net profit growth of 26% quarter-on-quarter and 60% year-on-year (y-o-y).

Outside its coverage scope, the research house said that both Sime Darby Property Bhd (Simeprop) as well as Eastern & Oriental Bhd exceeded consensus estimates on strong progressive billings.

“Developers are on track to achieve their 2024 sales targets, having reached approximately 50% of their goals so far.

“Lagenda Properties Bhd (Lagenda) and Simeprop led the way with double-digit sales growth for the quarter, as the former’s 2Q24 sales surged 19% y-o-y to Rm300mil, marking the highest quarterly sales in the company’s history,” the research house said.

Simeprop also saw impressive sales growth, with 2Q24 sales increasing by 45% y-o-y, prompting the group to revise its full-year sales target upward to Rm3.5bil from Rm3bil.

For the second half of the year (2H24), UOBKH Research said it is expecting stronger earnings from almost all companies under its coverage, with the exception of S P Setia and IOIPROP. It added that S P Setia’s land sales quantum is expected to be much lower in 2H24.

“Meanwhile, Ioiprop’s first few quarterly results for its financial year ending June 2025 (FY25) may be weak as we will see a jump in interest costs from its IOI Central Boulevard project in Singapore as that becomes fully operational in October this year,” the research house said.

Nonetheless, it believes IOIPROP has the potential to surprise on the upside due to the higher-than-expected launches recently as well as possibility of better-than-anticipated sales of Marina View in Singapore.

Overall, it said excluding land sales gain, sector net profit for 2024 and 2025 are expected to grow by 13% and 20%, respectively, driven by higher progressive billings on higher property sales and launches.

On a separate note, the research house said August share prices for property counters were hit by negative sentiment, driven primarily by the emergence of sinkholes in Kuala Lumpur, which itself led to the suspension of construction approvals in the capital.

UOBKH Research reported that the latest directive now requires planning permission applications for buildings in the city to include a geotechnical study by certified engineers.

“We gather that these geotechnical study rules have been in place since 2022, and are not new regulations.

“Developers in Kuala Lumpur such as Mah Sing Group Bhd also reiterated that they have been following all the guidelines and are in compliance with all the requirements, including the necessary geotechnical studies, hence, they do not anticipate issues with ongoing projects or future launches,” it added.

Maintaining an “Overweight” call on the property industry, UOBKH Research believes a long-term uptrend has emerged in the sector, fuelled by record-high total investments in Malaysia over the past two to three years.

It said property transactions are reaching all-time highs, oversupply is dropping, and investment in the real estate sector is on the rise.

“This growth is supported by several key factors including the expansion of industrial developments, which provides developers with new expansion opportunities and reduces reliance on residential projects, as well as increasing land values driven by the establishment of special economic and financial zones, rising demand for data centres, and new infrastructure projects,” it noted.

Top picks for the sector are IOIPROP, Lagenda and Mah Sing, with target prices of RM3, RM2.32 and RM2.29, respectively.

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Wednesday, August 7, 2024

Promising high-rise residential outlook

 

Upward trend due to the strong cost push elements

Khong: The market is still seeing a significant influx of new high-rise units.

THE high-rise residential property market is showing promising signs of growth, despite the influx of new units and prevailing oversupply situation.

Given the land scarcity in the city and its rising construction costs, Savills Malaysia Sdn Bhd group managing director Datuk Paul Khong says high-rise properties will continue to move upwards due to the strong “cost push” elements.

New builds will be more costly to produce and hence, its higher pricing. Rentals will be affected as it is also a function of the capital values of the new units,” he tells Starbizweek.

However, Khong says demand will continue to increase as more urban migrants seek employment opportunities in urban areas.

“Rentals will continue to see strong demand (as many cannot afford to buy and will continue to rent) as they will still need a place to stay in the Klang Valley.

“We are seeing young professionals, expatriates and small families now favouring high-rise living due to affordability factors plus convenience, security and its amenities.”

Khong adds that retirees are also choosing high-rise properties over landed ones for similar reasons.

“Additionally, there is less physical maintenance required for a smaller place,” he says.

“The market is still seeing a significant influx of new high-rise units, but the challenge lies in balancing new supply against an oversupply situation to avoid negative factors on both capital values and rental yields,” Khong adds.

According to Knight Frank Malaysia in its Real Estate Highlights report for the first half of 2024, the high-end, high-rise residential segment in the Klang Valley is currently experiencing significant growth in market activity.

“This upward trend is highlighted by rising sales volumes and an increase in the number of newly launched projects.

“Over the past six months, there has been a concentration of developments in the KL City Centre, reflecting a shift towards investment portfolios, especially with the introduction of return on investment rental programmes.”

Knight Frank adds that the market’s momentum is further bolstered by government initiatives aligned with the Madani economic framework.

Khong says he expects demand for prime areas to pick up well, such as the KLCC and

Trx-bukit Bintang areas, which caters primarily to high-income earners and foreign expatriates.

“Many properties in the Golden Triangle area have been converted to short-term stay units targeting tourists for lucrative rental returns.”

Khong adds that high-rise projects in well-connected areas are also expected to see stronger value appreciation and higher rental returns, in particular properties near transit-oriented development zones, especially near new MRT and LRT expansion lines.

“Established residential areas like Damansara Heights and Bangsar should also continue to perform into the rest of 2024,” he says.

Meanwhile, down south in Johor, veteran property analyst Samuel Tan says the high-rise residential sector will perform better in the next couple of years, especially those that are easily accessible to the two causeways and near the Johor Baru Singapore Rapid Transit System (RTS).

“Reasonably priced highrise apartments away from the centralised location but within established localities, will perform better moving forward.

“This is because landed residential properties are getting very expensive and beyond reach for most first timers.”

Additionally, Tan says many overhang units that accumulated during the Covid-19 period have been cleared.

“The supply-demand dynamic is not skewed towards the buyer’s market anymore. Having said that, we also noticed that developers are “rushing” in to capture the upturn.

“We opine that it is advisable for developers to read the market carefully and buyers also need to do their homework, before plunging in.”

Knight Frank meanwhile says the highrise residential sector in Johor Baru has seen improvements, marked by the launches of new projects that have attracted significant interest.

“Purchase inquiries have been increasing, particularly for high-rise developments near the RTS link project.

“Moving forward, we expect the projects located near the city centre to maintain their upward trajectory, while others are still experiencing positive effects from the ripple.”

Improving rentals

Khong says rentals have been recovering post Covid-19, especially in areas such as in Bangsar, Mont’kiara, Bandar Sunway and Shah Alam (especially the Glenmarie area).

“Notably, Bangsar and Bandar Sunway have surpassed their pre-covid levels, but we see rental tension with the increasing new completions in Petaling Jaya and Subang Jaya.

“It is a tenant’s market and they are spoilt for choices, given the many new offerings with more modern lifestyle concepts, better locations and more attractive amenities moving forward.”

Khong says KLCC still remains on the recovery path.

“We hope the current relaxation of the Malaysia My Second Home programme will enhance the government’s efforts to move Kuala Lumpur city as a world-class business and entertainment hub, attracting more foreign investors and tourists.”

Khong says there are still strong fundamentals that are driving positive rental performance in high-rise residential properties.

“This is despite higher cost-of-living due to the increased service tax now, diesel subsidy rationalisation and the expected RON95 subsidy changes, as urbanisation trends, strong demographics, population growth and the constant migration of the younger generation to urban areas will support this rental demand.

“Upcoming infrastructure projects such as the MRT and LRT expansions are set to enhance the connectivity and desirability to many of such locations. This continues the strong and positive trend in the rental market moving strongly forward.”

Similarly, Tan says he has witnessed improving rental trends for high-rise properties in Johor.

“We do not have official data for rental transactions. However, we know that rentals have been increasing since the reopening of borders in the second quarter of 2022.

“The increase over the past two years was easily 20% to 25% per annum for serviced apartments in the Johor Baru city centre and Iskandar Puteri area.”

Tan says the demand was mainly from Malaysians working in Singapore initially.

“Subsequently, more Airbnb operators also leased these high-rise units when tourists started streaming in.

“More Singaporeans are also renting in Johor Baru to stretch their dollars, especially those who can work from home.”

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Friday, June 7, 2024

Bright future ahead for Malaysian properties

 Impressive growth chalked up in first quarter 2024



Nga: The ongoing property stock rally is expected to continue into the second half of 2024.

PETALING JAYA: The property market has a “bright future” in the coming years under the leadership of Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim, says Housing and Local Government Minister Nga Kor Ming.

Interestingly, the minister also made a forecast that the ongoing property stock rally is expected to continue into the second half of 2024.

He said this in a statement where he noted that property stocks on Bursa Malaysia have rallied by up to 600% since the beginning of 2023.

Nga also pointed out that property transactions reached RM56.53bil in the first quarter of 2024 (1Q24), demonstrating an “impressive growth”. 

Premised on investors’ bullishness on property stocks and the market appetite for properties, Nga said the local property market is expected to be stable this year.

The market is also likely to continue growing in the next three years, supported by various initiatives outlined by the Madani government under Budget 2024, he added.

“We must work together to enhance our industry’s reputation and increase the confidence level of investors to make the property market even more resilient,” the minister said.

Nga also noted that property counters in the stock market have been on the rise from January 2023 to June 2024.

Out of 100 property counters on Bursa Malaysia, approximately 76 counters experienced an increase in share price, 22 counters showed a decrease in share price and two counters maintained their share price despite fluctuations.

For instance, DPS Resources Bhd experienced 600% growth in its share price, UEM Sunrise Bhd saw a 347.06% increase and WMG Holdings Bhd also showed a 326.31% growth from January 2023 to June 2024.

A total of 23 counters have at least doubled their share price in the period, based on data provided in Nga’s statement.

Meanwhile, the minister highlighted the impressive growth in Malaysian property transactions.

“In 1Q23, Malaysia’s property market transactions were valued at RM42.31bil, with more than 89,000 transactions recorded. In contrast, in 1Q24, property market transactions reached RM56.53bil, with more than 104,000 transactions, marking an increase of RM14.22bil in terms of value.

“This significant growth indicates that Malaysia’s property market is recovering well and on the rise,” he said.

About three weeks earlier, Nga reportedly said that the country’s property overhang was clearing up. Quoted by Bernama, Nga said that since the Madani government took office, the number of completed but unsold property units had decreased by over 40% with a drop from 37,066 units to fewer than 24,000 units.

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Friday, December 22, 2023

Relaxed MM2H a boon to property sector

PETALING JAYA: The relaxation of the Malaysia My Second Home (MM2H) programme, with changes to the eligibility criteria and financial requirements aimed at attracting a large pool of foreigners, may be a much needed boost to the property sector.

However, more needs to be done to encourage more uptake of the programme, given the competition from the neighbouring countries looking to woo foreigners with similar programme.

Professor Geoffrey Williams, who is an economist and Provost for Research and Innovation at Malaysia University of Science and Technology, agreed that the revised MM2H is better than the previous version, but still gives the impression that this is a revenue-raiser for the Immigration Department rather than a scheme to encourage expatriate residents in Malaysia.

“It is still relatively unfriendly, with a bad feeling for foreigners, and would only be attractive for tax avoidance to provide multiple residency for high tax payers to avoid paying tax at all in any single country.

“People with less than half a year’s residence pay no taxes so if you can get residence in three places you have one third residence in each and pay no taxes,” he told StarBiz.

He added that the MM2H programme will not have much of an impact on the economy.

Last Friday, the Tourism, Arts and Culture Ministry unveiled a revamped version of the MM2H programme. introducing a three-tiered structure along with updated financial requirements. The revised guideline brings several changes to the eligibility criteria.

The government has lowered the minimum age requirement to 30 years from 35 years previously, widening the accessibility for individuals who seek to make Malaysia their second home.

A measure aimed at streamlining and fortifying the application process requires that applications are now exclusively accepted through licensed MM2H agents accredited by the ministry under the Tourism Industry Act 1992.

Another significant change relates to the expanded range of eligible dependents. The programme now covers children between 21 and 34 years old, who are neither employed in Malaysia nor married. Parents and parents-in-law are now considered eligible dependents.

“I do not believe it will boost the economy much. The claims of a big economic impact for previous MM2H were not really delivered, which is why the Malaysia Premium Visa Programme (PVIP) scheme was introduced to raise more money quickly,” Prof Geoffrey said.

PVIP, which was launched in September 2022, is a “Residency Through Investment” concept that allows wealthy foreigners to invest and reside in Malaysia for 20 years, with an option to extend for another 20 years.

“The damage done to Malaysia’s reputation is serious and competition from other countries with better schemes and lower costs of living is intense,” he added.

He explained that the changes under PVIP were to attract “the right type of people” with lots of money.

“These changes attract more people but even the rich are likely to choose the lower tier options because the main incentive is residential access not other perks. So you may attract the wrong type of people in the form of tax avoiders,” he said.

Prof Geoffrey stressed that the government needs to create a positive sentiment and a welcoming environment, which is essential for foreigners when choosing long-term options in life.

MM2H was launched in 2002 with the purpose of attracting foreigners to retire and live in Malaysia for an extended period.

The programme was suspended in November 2019 and was re-launched in October 2021 with more stringent application conditions.

According to RHB Research, the stricter conditions led to the collapse of the MM2H market whereby there were only 1,905 MM2H applications approved between November 2021 to September 2023 (23 months) versus 5,610 in 2018.

During the same year, there were 197,385 transactions in the residential market according to National Property Information Centre.

The research house said this meant the MM2H approval represented 2.8% of the residential transaction volume, which is a rough gauge of the potential addressable market from MM2H holders.

“PVIP struggled to gain traction given the large upfront processing fees of RM200,000 needed versus RM5,000 for MM2H. PViP had only processed 57 applications where 28 were approved as at October 2023,” RHB Research added.

Nevertheless, RHB Research believes UEM Sunrise Bhd, Sunway and Eastern & Oriental Bhd are key beneficiaries under the new MM2H programme.

“We reiterate our ‘overweight’ call on the sector, as government policies, investment flow, infrastructure developments and the US Federal Reserve’s signal of a potential rate cut next year are favourable to stimulate demand for property,” the research house said.

Meanwhile, HLIB Research said the revised MM2H programme, with better clarity on the relaxed conditions, gives developers a better picture and visibility of the market and could potentially translate to more launches in the high-end residential segment.

“The development is an overall positive for the sector, especially for the high-end residential segment. Maintain ‘neutral’ for the sector with top picks Sunway BhdOSK Holdings BhdSime Darby Property Bhd and IOI Properties Group Bhd,” it said.

The research house pointed out that given the main nationality of the MM2H holders are Chinese (32.8%), this may potentially benefit Sunway’s development in Velocity, Jalan Cochrane, as there is a high proportion of Chinese residents in the area.

It added that the MM2H programme should also have spillover economic benefits to tourism and healthcare, benefiting in particular Sunway through its senior living, healthcare and hospitality businesses.

“Having said that, we also cautioned about increased competition from neighbouring countries like Thailand and Indonesia which had in recent years launched similar programmes.

“Thailand launched its Long-Term Residence Visa programme in September 2022, while Indonesia launched its 10-Year Visa Second Home Programme in December 2022,” HLIB Research said.

Similarly, TA Research, which maintained its “overweight” stance on the property sector, anticipated it to be a main beneficiary of increased domestic activities, driven by a surge in infrastructure projects and investments.

“This adjustment could attract more foreigners to our shores, positively impacting the real estate market.

“Moreover, by relaxing the MM2H programme, Malaysia can continue to vie for highly skilled foreign individuals, fostering their contributions to the nation’s growth through residency and investment,” it added.

However, TA Research suggested that the government remove the high RM40,000 monthly income requirement introduced in the 2021 revamp to enhance the appeal of the new MM2H programme.

“If the government reintroduces a monthly income requirement later, we propose setting it at RM10,000.

“This adjustment is particularly relevant when compared to countries like the Philippines, Indonesia and Cambodia, which do not impose a stipulated minimum income for enrollment in their long-stay visa programmes,” it added.